Monday, October 18, 2010

Oswalt Brilliant - Sloppy, lackadaisical defence Giants Undoing in Game 2

"By all rights Oswalt should have been slaughtered on this play - not only for the impudence of the base hit and his ignotism on the sacrifice bunt - but for the audacity of running through a stop sign with his back to the play!"

Roy Oswalt pitched a shut out against all the San Francisco Giants except Cody Ross - who hit a solo home run in the fifth. Two other hits over Oswalt's eight innings - along with only 3 walks - were not enough to enable the Giants over the Phillies four run 7th in game 2 of the National League Championship Series.


The Phillies Innings Batting

From The Internet Baseball Scorecard


Errors were everywhere tonight, except in the thinking of the game's official scorer who seemed to prefer home town hits to E's. Sloppy, lackadaisical play at key moments in the game were the Giants undoing in this Sunday night adventure.

J Rollins hit a high pop in the forth inning that was arching on the third base side to just short of the mound. Third baseman Mike Fontenot was there but at the last moment looked to catcher Buster Posey to take it. (???) It landed in a Bermuda triangle between the catcher, first baseman Aubrey Huff and Frontenot. The official scorer had trouble accessing an error on a pop fly that was surrounded by Giants - yet not eaten.

The strangest base hit of this calendar year?


In the decisive 7th, the pitcher and the catcher combined for several miss-plays that aren't usually scored - errors or other wise - but which defined the character of the defence in that inning and in the game - and if they don't shape up, the series.

Roy Oswalt is on first base with a lead off base hit to centre, Shane Victorino lays down a good bunt that forced third baseman Fontenot to make the play - which he did, and Oswalt advanced to 2nd. On this play Buster Posey should have covered the vacated third base bag. A good base runner - one who was looking at the situation in front of him, instead of back at first base to watch the put-out of the player sacrificing to move said base runner up, and maybe over - would have seen that the whole left side of the infield was vacant, and that being the closest person on the field to the third base bag, he could have walked over there.

Bad Buster Posey, bad!

Now with one out, the Giants decide to intentionally walk Chase Utley to set up the double play and perhaps get out of the inning still only one run down. Placido Polanco, the Phillies third baseman is up - he's the ground into double play candidate. Polanco does not abide, instead he hits a fly ball to centre for a base hit, which moves Oswalt to third base, and here comes the throw from centre.

This throw from Andres Torres, and what the infield did with it could very well have reversed destiny in this game. With a good throw, on line to the plate, one that was low enough to be cut by the long cut-off at 2nd base, and one that landed just in front of the mound and one-bounded to Posey, and this upstart pitcher come base running phenom would have been out by a mile for the second out of the inning.

By all rights Oswalt should have been slaughtered on this play - not only for the impudence of the base hit and his ignotism on the sacrifice bunt - but for the audacity of running through a stop sign with his back to the play!


When I score a game I note what the official scorer says in my scorecard; but I also note my disagreement. The official scorer scored this play a base hit and a run batted in. In my opinion it should have been scored a sacrifice fly that advances the runners, and an error throwing on the centre fielder resulting in the run scored.

I note the official scoring (BH8 RBI) and then added my disagreement:

BH8 RBI
#9 2,3
8-1-2
#9 3,h / #2 1,2

#9 is Oswalt; I wrote, the base hit got him to 3rd base (#9 2,3). Next, the throw, scored "8-1-2" (centre fielder to pitcher to home), results in the run (#9 3,h). The last part, #2 1,2 is wrong, Utley got to 2nd base via the hit not the throw (Oopps).

Placido Polanco's BH got Oswalt to third (where the third base coach told him to stop!!), and moved the intentional walk from first to second. Then, the off line throw from CF resulted in the run. Aubrey Huff had positioned himself near the mound after the batter runner, Polanco rounded first (with Utley ahead of him stopped near second). Huff was acting as extra deep cut off and in doing so stopped the situation from getting worse - right away. Because the ball was too high to cut at the deep cut-off near second, Utley could have taken third if Huff hadn't been at the extra deep cut-off position. Huff then made a quick, hard throw home, slightly to Posey's right which pulled him to the first base side and allowed Oswalt to score, sliding with a hand sweep across the far side of the plate.

From there the decisive 7th went from bad to worse. Another intentional base on balls to load the bases - this time hoping for a fielders choice to any one of four stations - and the end of the innings, down by only two runs.

Then the Jimmy Rollins' three run double.

Three different pitchers combined for four runs on two measly fly balls that were by design, supposed to be ground balls. Two of the four runs plated were intentional walks.

Oh well. The best laid schemes of mice and men...

[...]

Thou saw the fields laid bare an' waste,
An' weary winter comin fast,
An' cozie here, beneath the blast,
Thou thought to dwell,
Till crash! the cruel coulter past
Out thro' thy cell.

That wee bit heap o' leaves an' stibble,
Has cost thee monie a weary nibble!
Now thou's turned out, for a' thy trouble,
But house or hald,
To thole the winter's sleety dribble,
An' cranreuch cauld.

But Mousie, thou art no thy lane,
In proving foresight may be vain:
The best-laid schemes o' mice an' men
Gang aft agley,
An' lea'e us nought but grief an' pain,
For promis'd joy!

[...]

Robert Burns (1759 – 1796)
(Wikipedia)



mh

Friday, October 15, 2010

The Internet Baseball Scorecard gets Bigger, Better!



Earlier this month I published an article, New code for the Internet Baseball Score Card - with Extra Innings! -. In it I talked about how I had discovered "code break tags" (<!--extra innings-->) that hide code from a html rendering system (a blogging application, or a browser). I wanted to hide code that renders extra innings in the scorecard - so one could add innings to the scorecard quickly if a game went into extras.

It turns out blogging technology will not accept this hidden code - the code breaks and the code between them are erased as soon as you swtich to "Compose" mode, or click on "Publish". I'm still researching why - and if there's a work around.

To wit:

Yesterday I decided the time was right to make a more expansive change to the scorecard. It was something I was to putting off until the 2011 season - but I thought, how am I going to test it when there are no games on?

So, in time for the 2010 MLB League Championship Series - here it is - the 2011 Scorecard: Bigger! Better!
(check the link or click the image for a larger version)






mh

Thursday, October 14, 2010

2010 MLB Postseason Games - Scorecards of every Division Series game

I've been developing an HTML baseball scorecard since March of 2010. As the MLB Postseason came along I thought it would be a great idea to score all the games - what better way to spread the word about the craft of score keeping? Postseason games are different than regular season games; a lot more people watch, and people sometimes remember these games for the rest of their lives. After the last pitch of the season all baseball fans feel that let down - no baseball until March - bummer! For those cold January days just a few months before pitchers and catchers report, reading a scorecard from a great World Series game in October will bring a smile to your face, I guarantee!

The Division Series are now in the books - and every game has been scored; they're waiting for you over at BaseballBlogs sister blog,

The Internet Baseball Scorecard Blog


Have a look, grab a copy of any game you wish, it's free! If you republish or re-purpose, please mention with a link where you found it. :)


Also there's on on-going series at this blog:

How to Read a Baseball Score Card - and how to Score a Baseball Game


If you're the coding type, the code for the scorecard will work in any blogger.com blog (with a few parameter changes to the Blogger html). You can have a copy of the code for free (with a link-back) here.

MLB 2010 Division Series Scorecard links

(all links open in a new tab)



Atlanta Braves - San Fransisco Giants

NLDS: San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves - Game 4

NLDS: San Francisco Giants at Atlanta Braves - Game 3

NLDS: Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants - Game 2

NLDS: Atlanta Braves at San Francisco Giants - Game 1



Cincinnati Reds - Philadelphia Phillies
(game 2 should be up before 10/16/2010)

NLDS: Philadelphia Phillies at Cincinnati Reds - Game 3

NLDS: Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies - Game 2

NLDS: Cincinnati Reds at Philadelphia Phillies - Game 1



Minnesota Twins - New York Yankees

ALDS: Minnesota Twins at New York Yankees - Game 3

ALDS: New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins - Game 2

ALDS: New York Yankees at Minnesota Twins - Game 1



Tampa Bay Rays - Texas Rangers

ALDS Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays - Game 5

ALDS: Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers - Game 4

ALDS: Tampa Bay Rays at Texas Rangers - Game 3

ALDS: Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays - Game 2

ALDS: Texas Rangers at Tampa Bay Rays - Game 1




mh

Wednesday, October 13, 2010

The Symmetry of Cliff Lee's Complete Game Win over Tampa Bay Rays

I've become interested in the characteristics of line drawings that I've created from score cards of baseball games in the 2010 Post Season - in "The Year of the Pitcher" - so they say. The Line drawings simplify the score card down to batters faced and the passing of the innings. In the drawings Great pitching performances display a symmetry that reflects the efficiency and effectiveness of the pitcher in those games.

I've published three other articles like this one that illuminate some interesting metrics observable in simple line drawings derived from score cards of the 2010 MLB Post Season.


The Texas Rangers' pitching Ace, Cliff Lee has beaten the Tampa Bay Rays both times he faced them in this short Division Series, they were both effective starts, but Great? ... well, have a look at the numbers for yourself. Here's Cliff Lee's pitching line from the October 12th game, Tampa Bay's final game of 2010:


Here's the bottom half of the score card from last night's Game 5, Cliff Lee pitching all 9 innings, helping his team eliminate the Tampa Bay Rays.


Here's a line drawing I made from the score card above. It shows the number of batters Cliff Lee faced each inning; each vertical plane represents an inning. To help you see it I've made a list of the batters faced/inning:

1st inning - 4 batters
2nd inning - 3 batters
3rd inning - 6 batters
4th inning - 3 batters
5th inning - 4 batters
6th inning - 3 batters
7th inning - 4 batters
8th inning - 3 batters
9th inning - 3 batters


It's kind of boxy in the first half of the game it doesn't have that diagonal symmetry that all the other drawings I've made had. The 6 batter 3rd does that I guess. It's sort of like there are two different pitchers here, one before the 3rd and another pitcher later - rather than what we know, 9 innings from the great Cliff Lee. The second half of the drawing starts to resemble the softer pattern that represent what I've come to see in these line drawings as a great pitching performance.

What changed?

Good pitchers are able to adapt in game, if a particular pitch isn't hitting the spot intended, or an umpire is calling strikes on stuff that's half way to the moon for example, a battery may change what they're doing. Plus, hitters get used to a pattern; good pitchers change that pattern after 1 or 2 times through the order.

After the game Cliff Lee said that when he was warming up for the game, the curve ball was working great and that he knew he would be getting lots of outs with it. I wonder if by the 4th the battery figured out they would drop a pitch from the repertoire or perhaps just use the curve more?

I thought I'd check out that idea by going to Brooks Baseball page for Lee against all the Tampa Bay hitters in the game. Below is Brooks Baseball graph of pitch speed over the entire game, note the slow curve ball (that he throws with his index finger knuckled - see image above), is the 32nd pitch of the game. By reading ESPN's pitch by pitch of the game I counted that Cliff Lee threw 31 pitches in the first three innings. The slow curve was the first pitch of the 1,2,3 forth inning, representing the 5, 6, 7 hitters in the Rays line up - one and a half times through the order.

A battery can get behind hitters if the curve ball isn't hitting the strike zone, or if it's flat - riding up without a good drop through the hitting plane - the opposing batters will spank it out of the park on you. Interesting then that catcher Bengie Molina and Cliff Lee introduce the curve ball to the bottom half of the Tampa Bay order - to get it working before the line-up turns over?




***


Image of Cliff Lee's 'knuckle curve grip' on his curve ball from, ChrisOLeary.com

Thanks to Brooks Baseball PitchF/X for the chart: Pitch Speeds, Cliff Lee to Tampa Bay Rays over 9 Innings.



mh

Monday, October 11, 2010

The Symmetry of Cole Hamels' great start against the Cincinnati Reds



Philadelphia Phillies starting pitcher Cole Hamels had a brilliant outing in game 3 of the NLDS in Cincinnati.

I've become interested in the characteristics of line drawings I created from score cards of great pitching performances. They have a symmetry that reflects the efficiency and effectiveness of the pitcher in those games. I've published two other articles like this one that illuminate some interesting metrics observable in score cards of games in the 2010 MLB Post Season.



Here's Cole Hamels' pitching line:


Score card: Cole Hamels pitching to the Cincinnati Reds on October 10, 2010:


The line drawing derived from the score card. In four innings he faced 4 batters, in five innings he faced the minimum 3 batters.



Notice the diagonal symmetry, even though the innings where he faced 4 batters and where he faced 3 batters are fairly random.

  • 1st inning 4 batters
  • 2nd inning 4 batters
  • 3rd inning 3 batters
  • 4th inning 4 batters
  • 5th inning 3 batters
  • 6th inning 3 batters
  • 7th inning 4 batters
  • 8th inning 3 batters
  • 9th inning 3 batters


If he had had a 3 batter 2nd inning, there would have been a nine inning pattern. As it is a really solid pattern doesn't start until in the forth.

Neat.

(Is English the only language where two identical words can follow each other in a sentence?)



mh

Friday, October 8, 2010

I'm Score Keeping every game of the 2010 MLB Post Season

Over at my my other baseball blog, where my home made 'Do-It-Yourself' baseball score card lives, I'm taking on the colossal task of score keeping every post season MLB game. So far so good:



I've always found that when you put the work in, stay disciplined, focused on you're dream the universe usually cooperates. Well getting the score all set up with extra innings capability in time for the play-off was my dream, to do this right I needed a quick, easy way to add at-bat, innings totals and pitchers' lines boxes if a game went into extra innings. I thought I had it all worked out - I did my research and found a neat tag that cloisters code from a browser, so the extra innings code sits there hidden away, if I need it I simply remove the code block tags, and voila: a 9 inning score card expands to 18 innings with all the game data from the first 9 innings intact.

See the announcement... "New code for the Internet Baseball Score Card - with Extra Innings! - Score Card Coding update.

I'm using a Blogger.com work in progress called, "Blogger in Draft" blogging application to run the Internet Baseball Score Card Blog because it handles the massive code I've written better than normal blogger. (Normal blogger reads every space in a CSS code as a blank and renders it as a space in publish mode - which leaves about 25 lines of blank space between each table in the Score Card.)

Currently Blogger is in a software race with Word Press - which has all kinds of innovative widgets coming on line all the time - Google's Blogger.com is falling behind in a race they invented - and with Microsoft dumping their blogging software support and sending all their users to Word Press last month, the race has become a do or die one for Blogger.

So, while "Blogger in Draft" is a Beta thing, and s subject to change, it's necessary for the code I've written to score ball games; but imagine my pissed-off-ness when just before the second game of the MLB post season I realized that Blogger in Draft wasn't reading my code blocks. Not only was it not reading the code, but the thing was deleting the code break tags - and everything they were cloistering!

G-RRR!

But as I said above, hard work and perseverance pay off in the long run, and in ways you don't see coming - or sometimes even recognize.

I sent Blogger in Draft a bug report and hoped the game I was about to score didn't go into extra innings. That game was Roy Halladay's No-hitter, a nine inning, 1 walk, 4-0 win for Philadelphia. It was the first no-hitter I've ever scored, it was a pleasure and a half. As well, the headlines circling the internet about only the second such no-hitter in post season history have brought lots of eyes to my score card project - which is very important in my view; the art of score keeping is connected to an enlightened view of sport and especially the special game of baseball.

Also having the cultural artifact (a no-hit score card) in my computer has lead to several articles here on the aesthetics of the iconography of a score card. These articles, and something a friend of mine said a while back, have lead me to a new appreciation of the lay out of the score card and it's place in history. It was Chris F A Johnson that pointed this out in his obtuse way a couple of months back. Why, he was saying, box in all the data into the old metric? It is after all just a derivation of old technology, paper and penciled lines laid out in a graph - it probably comes from the book keeping of accountants. Chris made me realize I'd taken the old way and tried to translate it directly, with out thinking as deeply as now, into 1's and 0's.

The essential function of a score card is to put ALL the data from a game of baseball into a graphical, user friendly interface that one can 'read'. The graph paper like score card did that in the age before the computer - do we need that same graph paper lay-out now? The new vessels of media allow us to imagine new vistas. A better interface could be out there - if you can imagine it. So why keep the tight little boxes where you have to develop notations to fit all the data you want to put in? The internet doesn't have space constraints - it's infinity large.

Great question! I can always count on my friend Chris to think WAY outside the box - so to speak.


Well the answer I come up with is; the big moderator, the thing that, in my opinion will save the score card as we move further into the digital age - is our eyes, our brains. The history of communication has evolved technology that lays stuff out in a way that it is easy to see; like a book or a ledger, because our eyes, a huge part of our brains functioning needs that lay out.

Part of the beauty of creating an html score card is that isn't a black box like the iPad score keeping technology that hides all the data while you're writing it. The tables lay out lets you read it while your adding new data, at a glance, you can see the character of the game unfolding. And if you want you can 'drill down' if you want and read in detail. For example you can easily see that a team scored 5 runs in the first inning of a game - or you can read the pitch by pitch detail of one at bat. After the game is over and all the totals have been tallied you can sit down in a chair at a desk with a reading lamp - a few of the associated cultural artifacts to the book - and study it.

This the legacy of thousands of years of humans trying to communicate information - cave walls were good, but hard to send, better was the Greek parchment roll, still better the hand printed book object with its' binding, the printing press that made pages reproducible on a mass scale. The history of the advances in communications haven't developed new sizes or concepts, they were all improvements that didn't change the basic thing - a hand in the hand sized object that you can sit down with and study.

The personal computer is a variation on that thing; the lap top computer, close to the book in that it sits on your desk, and now the Kindle and other hand held interfaces are developing according to how people want to use them. The smart phone now tries to imitate the pocket book, of 1930's invention (Wikipedia: Pocket Books).

So there is no need to re-invent the score card - just how it's written and shared. The digital age won't change that held in the hand element that our eyes (or brains) and our bodies require - the computer will change to fit us - not the other way 'round. The accountants ledger lay out of the baseball score card is not going to go away, it's here with us in the history of baseball for a reason, and it will endure. An opportunity presents itself now to make the score card more popular than it has ever been.

Score keeping has always been about making watching a baseball game better - from this writers perspective the digital age will do that even better by making the score card easier to read, write and share - and in the process more accurate, and ubiquitous.



mh

The Symmetry of Timothy LeRoy Lincecum's Complete Game 2-hitter

There's watching the game and seeing the spell Tim Lincecum was weaving on Thursday night - and then there's the box score that mirrors the magic that was on the field - now in a funny bit of iconography produced by some nut 3,000 miles away in Toronto.

Look how Lincecum's innings unfold, this is batters faced/inning:

  • 1st to 3rd: 1234, 123, 123
  • 4th to 6th: 1234, 123, 123
  • 7th to 9th: 1234, 123, 123
The three, 1234 innings represent 2 hits and 1 base on balls. The rest of the innings are three up, three down.



As I did in an earlier post on the art of iconography of a great pitching performance - namely Roy Halladay's no-hitter - I simplified the score card down to a line drawing.

Here's Roy Halladay's No-hitter with one base on balls, against Cincinnati on October 6th, 2010.


As an example, here's a line drawing of a perfect game. All perfect games will look like this.


This is a line drawing of Tim Lincecum's Complete Game 2-hitter with one walk, against the Atlanta Braves on Thursday, October 7th 2010.



I don't want to use the terms dominate, over powering or masterful to describe Lincecum's outing last night - they're over used - but they really do fit here. This was a pitching performance on par with Don Larsen's perfect game in 1956 and Roy Halladay's post season no-hitter a couple of days ago. Because it happen the day after Halladay's gem - and in the western time zone - it might not be noticed as much as it deserves; it was a peerless performance. (except the ones I just mentioned - you get my point :).

Here's all 119 pitches Tim Lincecum threw, via the PitchF/X data system and rendered into a graphical representation through Brooks Baseball's user interface. (Thanks Joy of Sox.)

Notice there are only three called strikes outside the box. Great Umpiring.



The year of the pitcher is happening in the play-offs and it's shaping up like this years post season may go down in history like the original Year of the Pitcher 1968 has. But perhaps not a full year; let me explain...

Almost all of the elite pitchers are in the post season this year; the exceptions are these four from the top ten in wins:

St. Louis Cardinals, Adam Wainwright (20 W - 11 L 2.42 ERA)
Colorado Rockies, Ubaldo Jimenez (19W 8 L 2.88 ERA)
Boston Red Sox's Jon Lester (19 W 9 L, 3.25 ERA)
Detroit Tigers' J Verlander (18 W - 9 L 3.37)

I say that taken all together; the juiced ball, steroid use by hitters and the new smaller parks, has resulted in pitchers having had the stuffing kicked out of them for the last 10-15 years. This renaissance, this rebound of the pitchers, could just now be forming a new élan in their minds that we haven't seen for quite some time. Perhaps this new mindset and post season focus are causing a "high tide" of pitching excellence - perhaps building to a post season to remember.


The 2010 Post Season Hall of Fame:
( - so far - )

Roy Halladay - no-hitter
Tim Lincecum - complete game 2-hitter



mh